Sometimes, as I am staring into the deep soul of my monitor, my mind momentarily drifts to thinking about the glimmering pixels which are being updated right before my eyes. Such an extraordinary piece of technology, now just tossed into commonness.
Now, it would be quite comical for a person to become fascinated by every single thing that they see around them but, this makes me wonder: what technology traits make people ‘blow their brains out’. And does this have any dependence on the time they were born into?
–> S curve growth of technology:
Jason in this blog post, talks about a “natural S curve” for analyzing progress and quotes:
Every technology, defined narrowly enough, goes through an S-curve: it starts out small, picks up steam, hits a hockey-stick inflection point, grows exponentially—and then starts to near saturation, slows down, levels off, plateaus.
And regarding how breakthroughs open the flood gates to new invention, he says:
… But when some breakthrough insight creates an entirely new field, it opens an entire new orchard of low-hanging fruit to pick.
I think this is an interesting way to think about progress and would be great to quantify this more rigorously.